Posted: 7:32 am Monday, October 31st, 2016
By Jamie Dupree
With just over a week left in the race for President, Donald Trump is making campaign stops in a series of states that up to now have been considered solidly in the column of Hillary Clinton, as the Republican nominee makes a late play for what would be some key Electoral Votes in November.
Trump on Sunday held a rally in New Mexico, a state that has gone to the Democrats in five of the last six elections – George W. Bush last was able to win it for the GOP in his re-election bid in 2004.
“We’re going to win New Mexico,” Trump declared to cheers at an airport rally on Sunday night, as his campaign staff talked up this broader map.
— Evan McMurry (@evanmcmurry) October 30, 2016
Trump will try to expand the election map even more on Monday, as he’s slated to hold two rallies in Michigan, a state that he won handily in the GOP primary – but, not one poll since the party conventions has shown Trump ahead.
Republicans have not won in Michigan in the race for President since 1988; not even Mitt Romney – a Michigan native – could do the trick.
Here is the rundown of recent polls from Michigan:
On Tuesday, Trump will hold a rally in Wisconsin, a state that hasn’t gone to the GOP since 1984 – the polls there have been the same as in Michigan – all Clinton, and none showing Trump ahead.
But there has been evidence that Democrats are a bit nervous about Wisconsin; Tim Kaine has two stops in that state set for Tuesday, and Democratic groups are pouring more money into a race for U.S. Senate there.
Chamber of Commerce now spending for Johnson, Kaine added a Wisconsin stop, Chuck Schumer transferred some new money to WI Dems… https://t.co/gtEtJsRumi
— Taniel (@Taniel) October 30, 2016
While Trump backers say it’s evidence of an expanding electoral map, there are pollsters and strategists who argue it’s a waste of time, like Matt McDermott:
States Trump is visiting this week:
– New Mexico
States Trump has no chance to win:
– New Mexico
— Matt McDermott (@mattmfm) October 29, 2016
We will find out in just over a week whether this Trump move is a long shot strategy that works, or just a late Hail Mary that did not succeed.
If Trump supporters turn out and flood the polls in Michigan and Wisconsin, he'll win both and the Presidency.
— Jared Wyand 🇺🇸 (@JaredWyand) October 28, 2016
About the Author
Jamie Dupree is the Radio News Director of the Washington Bureau of the Cox Media Group and writes the Washington Insider blog. A native of Washington, D.C., Jamie has covered Congress and politics in the nation’s capital since the Reagan Administration, and has been reporting for Cox since 1989.